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ZX Data private stock trade

Executive Summary

  • This quarter, reporting holders marked down their private portfolios by 0.7% ($ weighted) with an average mark-down of 4.6% (equal weighted).
  • Sentiment up:
  • Sentiment down:
  • In June, 23% of companies with ZX Index Values showed a difference of 10% or less compared to Fund Marks, and 39% of companies with ZX Index Values showed a difference of 20% or less compared to Fund Marks.

Heat Map: April 30th, 2024 Reporting Period

-0.7%

Appreciation/Depreciation of All Reported Holdings1

-4.6%

Average Mark-Up/Mark-Down Across All Reported Holdings2
SandboxAQ
78.4%
KoBold Metals
71.3%
Blaize
57.0%
Caresyntax
31.8%
VAST Data
27.2%
Circle
26.6%
CoreWeave
25.9%
Hammerspace
23.0%
Rad Power
22.5%
BETA Technologies
16.5%
Liquid Death
16.5%
Versa Networks
15.1%
Tory Burch
13.3%
Meesho
11.8%
Mythical
11.1%
Waymo
10.6%
6Sense
10.4%
Evozyne
9.6%
Bolt
8.2%
Treeline Bio
4.9%
Shield AI
4.5%
Bytedance
4.2%
Epic Games
3.9%
Sonoma Bio
3.7%
Optoro
3.6%
Discord
3.3%
Tenstorrent
3.3%
Included Health (Grand Rounds)
3.0%
Sortium
2.8%
Stripe
2.3%
Zipline
2.3%
Fabletics
2.1%
Wasabi Technologies
1.8%
Artiva Bio
1.6%
Chime
1.3%
PsiQuantum
0.9%
SpaceX
0.9%
Gusto
0.6%
Savage X
0.5%
Relativity Space
0.2%
A24 Films
0.0%
Accelerant
0.0%
Arctic Wolf
0.0%
Blockdaemon
0.0%
Bright Peak
0.0%
Cadre
0.0%
Carta
0.0%
Cohesity
0.0%
Cross River
0.0%
Cybereason
0.0%
Envoy
0.0%
Everly Health
0.0%
Exo Imaging
0.0%
Figma
0.0%
Figure Technologies
0.0%
Harness
0.0%
Headspace
0.0%
Highspot
0.0%
Houzz
0.0%
iCapital
0.0%
Intercom
0.0%
Jetti Resources
0.0%
JUUL
0.0%
LifeMine
0.0%
Lilac Solutions
0.0%
MadHive
0.0%
Magic Leap
0.0%
Nuro
0.0%
Patreon
0.0%
Phenom
0.0%
RapidSOS
0.0%
Rappi
0.0%
Scale AI
0.0%
Shipbob
0.0%
Sila Nano
0.0%
Sortera Tech
0.0%
Tekion
0.0%
VerAI
0.0%
Verily
0.0%
VideoAmp
0.0%
Whoop
0.0%
Castle Creek
-0.1%
MNTN
-0.2%
Verge Genomics
-0.2%
Databricks
-0.3%
Fanatics
-0.3%
Xsight Labs
-0.4%
Swiggy
-0.5%
Chainalysis
-0.6%
Canva
-1.1%
Farmers Business Network
-1.1%
Tula Tech
-1.2%
Ant Group
-1.3%
X Holdings
-1.4%
YuLife
-1.4%
Algolia
-1.7%
Newsela
-1.9%
Checkr
-2.5%
Lightmatter
-2.6%
Axiom Space
-2.7%
ClearMotion
-2.9%
SiMa ai
-3.0%
Retym
-3.3%
Druva
-3.6%
Replit
-4.1%
ABL Space
-4.2%
Snyk
-4.5%
Essence Group
-5.5%
Starling Bank
-5.5%
Deep Instinct
-5.8%
Enevate
-6.0%
SambaNova
-6.2%
Wugen
-6.2%
Resilience
-6.5%
Alif Semi
-6.7%
T-Knife
-6.8%
Dataminr
-7.2%
Neon
-7.2%
Celonis
-7.3%
Grammarly
-7.3%
Redwood Materials
-7.9%
Pine Labs
-8.2%
Menlo Micro
-8.5%
Lessen
-8.9%
Ursa
-8.9%
GOAT
-9.0%
Illumio
-9.1%
Caris
-9.3%
Signifyd
-9.4%
Flexport
-10.8%
Diamond Foundry
-10.9%
CelLink
-11.2%
ThoughtSpot
-11.7%
Tanium
-12.1%
Moloco
-12.8%
Blink Health
-13.3%
Snorkel AI
-13.8%
Talkdesk
-14.1%
Tempus Labs
-14.1%
Skyryse
-15.7%
Lime
-16.4%
Caidya (dMed)
-16.9%
Benchling
-17.2%
Freenome
-17.2%
OneTrust
-17.2%
GupShup
-17.7%
Lacework
-18.7%
goPuff
-18.9%
Breeze Airways
-20.0%
Noodle
-20.6%
MasterClass
-21.5%
Smule
-21.8%
JumpCloud
-22.3%
Bowery
-23.1%
Zero Mass Water
-23.5%
Rapyd
-25.1%
Lookout
-27.3%
Loadsmart
-30.8%
KRY
-32.7%
Anthropic
-38.7%
Teya (SaltPay)
-40.9%
MOD Pizza
-46.2%
Phononic
-84.6%
Volocopter
-96.9%
AgBiome
-99.9%

1 Dollar-weighted return on all reported holdings
2 Equal-weighted mark-up or mark-down across all reported holdings

This quarter, reporting holders marked down their private portfolios by 0.7% ($ weighted) with an average mark-down of 4.6% (equal weighted). The period saw one company advancing for every two companies declining.

SandboxAQ experienced the most significant mark-up, followed by KoBold Metals, Blaize and Caresyntax. Crypto & Blockchain, CloudTech & DevOps and Semiconductors saw the largest mark-ups across sectors.

AgBiome experienced the most significant mark-down as funds wrote off their positions. Volocopter, Phononic and MOD Pizza also saw significant mark-downs. Among sectors, AgTech, EdTech, and Cybersecurity saw the largest mark-downs.

Comparison of ZX Index Value vs. Fund Marks

CompaniesRobustness Score3ZX Index Values4 vs. Fund Marks
Farmers Business Network1+89.30%
CoreWeave5+78.90%
Sila Nano2+73.30%
Loadsmart2+70.40%
Lime1+68.90%
Scale AI6+60.20%
Redwood Materials6+55.70%
Tekion5+54.50%
Cybereason2+52.20%
Figma6+49.60%
Bolt2+40.80%
GupShup1+40.40%
Flexport3+35.70%
Rappi1+32.20%
Moloco2+31.80%
Waymo2+31.70%
Dataminr1+28.60%
Stripe8+28.60%
Liquid Death6+25.70%
Diamond Foundry1+25.30%
Lessen1+23.70%
Whoop2+22.40%
Carta2+16.50%
OpenAI6+15.80%
Benchling2+14.40%
Chainalysis7+13.70%
Intercom5+12.10%
Wasabi Technologies2+12.10%
Phenom1+10.70%
Anthropic8+9.70%
Harness1+9.50%
Druva2+8.10%
6Sense6+7.90%
Canva5+6.40%
Freenome1+5.20%
SpaceX8+3.00%
ServiceTitan4+0.70%
Discord5+0.50%
Figure AI10.00%
Cohesity2-2.20%
Algolia6-3.10%
Cross River2-5.00%
Shield AI6-5.20%
Databricks7-6.90%
ThoughtSpot2-7.40%
Patreon5-8.20%
Blockdaemon2-10.30%
Epic Games6-12.90%
Lightmatter1-15.20%
Circle7-15.20%
Relativity Space5-19.60%
Zipline4-23.40%
Arctic Wolf6-25.50%
Flock Safety5-27.00%
Rapyd5-27.40%
Lookout1-27.50%
Highspot1-28.80%
OneTrust2-29.50%
Fanatics2-30.20%
Axiom Space2-38.60%
Cart.com2-38.70%
Bytedance8-39.20%
Snyk7-41.00%
Gusto5-41.10%
Chime7-46.50%
JUUL2-52.30%
MNTN1-54.10%
Celonis3-54.50%
VideoAmp2-54.80%
SambaNova5-55.30%
Tanium4-55.40%
PsiQuantum2-65.70%
Illumio1-71.40%
Checkr1-74.80%

3 ZXData Robustness Score is an internally developed metric to assign confidence levels to the underlying data used in constructing ZXData output metrics. The ZXData Robustness Score is calculated on a scale of 1 to 10 for each company, based on the number of executed trades, number of buy and sell orders submitted to ZX and skewness of the order book.
4 ZX Index Value is an internally developed metric that reflects secondary values for private companies using an algorithmic approach based on the values sourced from ZX and ZXData partners. The algorithm used to calculate ZX Index Values incorporates both executed transaction values and bid and ask pricing.

In June, 23% of companies with ZX Index Values showed a difference of 10% or less compared to Fund Marks, and 39% of companies with ZX Index Values showed a difference of 20% or less compared to Fund Marks. Among the companies, Farmers Business Network, CoreWeave, Sila Nano and Loadsmart had the highest positive variance in reported marks versus ZX Index Values. Checkr, Illumio, PsiQuantum and Tanium had the highest negative variance in reported marks versus ZX Index Values.

Highest Variance in Reported Marks
CompanyNormalized Std Dev5$ Weighted AvgMaxMin
Lookout.64$3.45$8.54$1.28
Farmers Business Network.55$3.91$19.21$3.61
Rad Power.39$0.77$1.15$0.31
Grammarly.29$19.10$29.19$15.97
Gusto.29$25.66$30.40$13.38

5 Normalized Standard Deviation is used to express the measure of spread across reported marks and allows for comparison between companies independent of their price per share based on a dollar-weighted average.

This period, Lookout ($1.28 - $8.54) saw the highest share price variance across funds followed by Farmers Business Network ($3.61 - $19.21) and Rad Power ($0.31 - $1.15).

Positive Trend Reversal6 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked down or flat)
Negative Trend Reversal7 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked up or flat)
Positive Trend Reversal6 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked down or flat)
Sila Nano
10
Savage X
8
Ant Group, Epic Games
4
Kobold Metals
4
Negative Trend Reversal7 (# = consecutive prior qtrs marked up or flat)
Fanatics
9
Lime
5
Databricks, Enevate
4
Illumio, Swiggy, Tanium
4

6 Positive Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked up after consecutive quarterly periods marked down or flat
7 Negative Trend Reversal reflects an individual holding marked down after consecutive quarterly periods marked up or flat

Sila Nano saw its first positive reversals in ten quarters while Savage X saw its first positive reversal in eight quarters. Ant Group, Epic Games and KoBold Metals all saw their first positive reversals in four quarters. Fanatics saw its first negative reversal in nine quarters while Lime saw its first negative reversal in five quarters. Databricks, Enevate, Illumio, Swiggy and Tanium all saw their first negative reversals in four quarters.

Disclaimer

This report is based on data reported by 300+ funds and $53+ billion of value. Many holders of private company shares do not report their holding values and are thus not included in this report’s dataset. Further, many venture-backed private companies are not held by any reporting funds and are thus not included in this report. As such, this report should not be construed as providing a complete picture of shareholder sentiment or venture-backed private company performance. This report does not constitute investment advice or a "research report" as defined by FINRA Rules.

The “ZX Index Value” is derived by applying proprietary weightings to the order flow data collected for the stated period (both bids and asks), based on the order type (firm order or indication of interest) and whether the order has been executed, with greater weight given to more recent orders.

Zanbato, Inc. (“Zanbato”) prepares and disseminates market information about venture-backed private company securities, and the current bids and offers for those securities listed on the ATS operated by Zanbato (“ZX”). The information provided in this report has been prepared by sales, trading, or other non-research functions. Pricing indications and macro commentary are provided for information purposes only. This report is not intended to assess the individual merits of a particular investment or strategy, does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy and should not be construed as such. This report does not constitute investment advice. Certain information in this report has been obtained from third party sources and, while such information is believed by Zanbato to be reliable, it has not been independently verified by Zanbato and Zanbato shall not be responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with any use of, or reliance on, such third party information. Furthermore, the information contained in this report may not be current due to, among other things, changes in the financial markets or economic environment. Zanbato does not, and has no obligation to, update any such information contained in this report. Any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only, do not represent firm quotes as to either price or size and should not be used for valuation purposes.

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